20.500.12556/DKUM-22194 ANALIZIRANJE SPREMEMB DEVIZNEGA TEČAJA NA PRIMERU EUR/USD ANALYZING EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT: EUR/USD EXAMPLE Zaradi vse večjega pomena deviznega tečaja za države, ki sodelujejo v mednarodni menjavi blaga, je postalo poznavanje zakonitosti njegovega gibanja izredno pomemben dejavnik. Šele z zadostnim poznavanjem osnov deviznega tečaja je mogoče razumeti vzroke za njegove spremembe kakor tudi poizkusiti napovedati njegovo gibanje v prihodnje. Analiza gibanja deviznega tečaja EUR/USD je pokazala veliko dejavnikov in njihovo medsebojno prepletenost pri vplivanju na oblikovanje deviznega tečaja. Pokazala pa se je tudi nezmožnost osnovnih teoretičnih modelov za napovedovanje prihodnjega gibanja deviznega tečaja, da pravilno napovejo prihodnje spremembe. Because of ever growing importance of the exchange rate between countries, which take place in the international trade, understanding how these rates are is an important factor. Only with sufficient knowledge of what influences an exchange rate can you understand the reasons for its changing and hope to forecast its future moves. The analysis of EUR/USD exchange rate movements showed a huge number of factors and their mutual interaction, that effect the forming of an exchange rate. The analysis also showed a fundamental inability of basic exchange rate determination theories to forecast future movement of the exchange rate. devizni tečaj devizni trg transakcije na deviznih trgih spremembe deviznega tečaja teorije deviznega tečaja exchange rate foreign exchange market foreign exchange market transactions exchange rate changes exchange rate theories true true false [R. Plečko] Slovenski jezik Angleški jezik Diplomsko delo 2012-02-27 21:56:21 2012-06-29 08:46:24 2022-04-14 11:14:00 2023-12-29 03:14:52 2012 0 Maribor 0 0000-00-00 NiDoloceno NiDoloceno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 339.74 11108380 URN:SI:UM:DK:OU4AY0EK UNI_Plecko_Rok_2012.pdf UNI_Plecko_Rok_2012.pdf 1 6CB06FF2099C2EFE894EF313CD59DBEF 7d046fcbb4815844c9864f85b1eb1ef1cb14d0f4082934e1a48615eeb0676d9f 6d009309-7c06-11eb-bb7a-00155d0001ca 20.500.12556/dkum/278158f0-7209-43a4-9e35-4fa266683308 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=28538 Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta 0 0 0