20.500.12556/DKUM-68930 Examining the export-led growth hypothesis the case of Croatia Testiranje hipoteze o izvozno podprti rasti primer Hrvaške This paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approach to cointegration, long-term equilibrium as well as short-term correlation between the observed variables was identified. Exports of goods and services and gross domestic product (GDP) in Croatia move together. If the two observed variables move away from equilibrium, they will return to their long-term equilibrium state at a velocity of 24.46% in the subsequent period. In accordance with the results, we found evidence supporting the export-led growth hypothesis in Croatia. As the outcomes indicated, to recover the economy, Croatia should put more emphasis on the development of exporting sectors. V članku preverjamo povezanost bruto domačega proizvoda in izvoza blaga in storitev na Hrvaškem v obdobju med letoma 1996 in 2012. Izsledki raziskave potrjujejo enosmerno Grangerjevo vzročnost od izvoza blaga in storitev do bruto domačega proizvoda. Skladno z Engle-Grangerjevim pristopom h kointegraciji smo ugotovili dolgoročno ravnovesje in kratkoročno korelacijo med opazovanimi spremenljivkami. Izvoz blaga in storitev in bruto domači proizvod se na Hrvaškem gibljejo skupaj. Če se gibanje opazovanih spremenljivk odmakne od ravnovesja, se v naslednjem obdobju vrnejo v dolgoročno stanje ravnovesja s hitrostjo 24,46 %. Skladno z izsledki smo potrdili hipotezo o izvozno podprti rasti na Hrvaškem. Rezultati nakazujejo, da bi morala Hrvaška za okrevanje gospodarstva večji poudarek dati razvoju izvoznih sektorjev. gross domestic product export Croatia Granger causality gospodarstvo izvoz gospodarska rast bruto domači proizvod izvoz Hrvaška Grangerjeva vzročnost true false true Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Znanstveno delo 2017-11-13 15:03:54 2017-11-13 15:04:49 2022-08-01 16:29:27 2019-07-11 17:15:28 2015 0 0 str. 22-31 št. 3 Letn. 61 2015 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0547-3101 330.55:339.564(497.5) 751364 12017948 10.1515/ngoe-2015-0010 0547-3101 URN:SI:UM:DK:EZHWQSUA Nase_gospodarstvoOur_economy_2015_Bilas,_Bosnjak,_Franc_Examining_the_Export-led_Growth_Hypothesis_The_case_of_Croatia.pdf Nase_gospodarstvoOur_economy_2015_Bilas,_Bosnjak,_Franc_Examining_the_Export-led_Growth_Hypothesis_The_case_of_Croatia.pdf 1 5F8526018D40598AACF4E4F221704DEA b0d9fe40d470b264caffba3c5cce20aca0b313f6e0fbb8ab694d453f187e5b89 7d1d20b8-7c0f-11eb-bb7a-00155d0001ca 20.500.12556/dkum/f333f400-7e22-45d2-bf98-ece0638c6217 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=120204 https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/ngoe.2015.61.issue-3/ngoe-2015-0010/ngoe-2015-0010.xml 1 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=120203 Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta Naše gospodarstvo 0 0 0