20.500.12556/DKUM-74634 Ekonometrična analiza osebne potrošnje Slovenije, Belgije in Italije Econometric analysis of personal consumption expenditures in Slovenia, Belgium and Italy Osebna potrošnja je ena izmed ključnih makroekonomskih dejavnikov, saj je leta 2018 v EU namreč predstavljala več kot polovico celotnega BDP. Poleg predstavitve osebne potrošnje v Sloveniji, Belgiji in Italiji med leti 2003 in 2018, identificiramo tudi vpliv njenih faktorjev s pomočjo ekonometrične analize. Študija temelji na različnih oblikah prilagojene Keynesianske potrošne funkcije in z ekonometrično metodo najmanjših kvadratov (MNK) preverja statistično značilnost in primernost izbranih neodvisnih spremenljvk, realnega BDP, realne obrestne mere in odložene potrošnje gospodinjstev vsake države. Kot najprimernejši se pri vsaki izmed njih izkaže multipli linearni regresijski model z odloženo odvisno spremenljivko, za katerega preverimo veljavnost predpostavk normalne porazdelitve, multikolinearnosti, heteroskedastičnosti in avtokorelacije. The personal consumption is one of the key macroeconomic factors as its share of gross domestic product (GDP) accounted for slightly more than half of the EU’s GDP last year. Besides presenting the household consumption in Slovenia, Belgium and Italy between year 2003 to 2018, the econometric analysis is carried out to identify the impact of consumption factors on household consumption. This study is based on different forms of modified Keynesian consumption function and employs econometric method Ordinary least squares (OLS) to determine the statistical significancy and accuracy of selected independent variables real GDP, real interest rate and lagged household consumption. To emphasize, multiple linear regression model with lagged independent variable shows as best to describe the personal consumption in each country. Furthermore normal distribution, multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation are tested for each model. osebna potrošnja bruto domači proizvod funkcija potrošnje metoda najmanjših kvadratov normalna porazdelitev multikolinearnost heteroskedastičnost avtokorelacija personal consumption gross domestic product consumer function ordinary least squares normaln distribution multicollinearity heteroskedasticity autocorrelation true true false [K. Mohorko] Slovenski jezik Angleški jezik Delo diplomskega projekta/projektno delo 2019-09-03 08:27:47 2019-12-11 14:04:16 2022-08-09 09:20:49 2019-12-12 03:12:45 2019 0 Maribor 0 0000-00-00 NiDoloceno NiDoloceno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 330.5 13497884 URN:SI:UM:DK:MXCHR7GK UN_Mohorko_Katja_2019.pdf UN_Mohorko_Katja_2019.pdf 1 B9AB131AE008DDAC04FD16051E984833 c0c4e25383f6c45a49da62905254b87940cc3c4ad013126550d1c7d78f768f45 f0b2900a-7c10-11eb-bb7a-00155d0001ca 20.500.12556/dkum/dfb668cd-df35-4afd-b5ab-6ac56a515d2c https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=137630 Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta 0 0 0