20.500.12556/DKUM-75285 Technological valley of death as an emergent evolutionary phenomenon Tehnološka dolina smrti kot samoporajajoči evolucijski fenomen Perceptual researchers often argue that natural selection supports veridical perceptions, respectively those that accurately reflect the environment. They also claim that beings whose perceptions are truer are also more fit. This assumption was tested using standard tools of evolutionary game theory in a simple environment. The result was that more veridical perceptions are not necessarily more successful. In the majority of the parameter space, veridical perceptions are extinct in competition with simplified perceptions, based on adaptive behavior in a given environment. In the thesis, we build upon mentioned territorial games introduced by Mark, Marion, and Hoffman in 2010, and extend four of their territory perception and selection strategies with two novel ones that together constitute a model of technological readiness valley of death. Whenever utility of a resource is not monotonous in the amount of that resource, the technological valley of death emerges. While the development of the science behind these models is in its infancy, modeling and understanding the phenomenon may shed light on progress and related phenomena in society. Raziskovalci zaznav pogosto menijo, da naravna selekcija podpira veristična zaznavanja, oziroma tista, ki bolj natančno prikazujejo okolje. Trdijo tudi, da so bitja, katerih dojemanja so bolj resnična, tudi bolj uspešna. Ta predpostavka je bila testirana z uporabo standardnih orodij evolucijske teorije iger za enostavno okolje. Rezultat je pokazal, da bolj verodostojne percepcije niso tudi bolj uspešne. Zaradi naravne selekcije lahko veristične strategije izumrejo v tekmi s strategijami, ki so prilagojene na zaznavanje neposredne koristnosti možnih odločitev. Magistrsko delo gradi na omenjenih teritorialnih igrah, ki so jih uvedli Mark, Marion in Hoffman v letu 2010. Njihove štiri percepcijske strategije selekcije teritorijev razširimo z dvema novima, ki skupaj tvorita model tehnološke doline smrti. Domnevamo, da se, kadar koristnost vira ni monotona funkcija količine tega vira, pojavi tehnološka dolina smrti. Medtem ko so raziskave tega fenomena še v povojih, lahko modeliranje in razumevanje tega pojava osvetli napredek in z njim povezane pojave v družbi. evolution perception utility Monte Carlo simulation game theory evolucija zaznave koristnost Monte Carlo simulacije teorija iger true true false [P. Fic] Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Magistrsko delo/naloga 2019-10-10 18:16:52 2019-11-22 16:19:14 2022-08-09 11:09:31 2019-12-10 08:31:56 2019 0 Maribor 0 0000-00-00 NiDoloceno NiDoloceno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 519.83(043.2) 24924680 URN:SI:UM:DK:SC1XBMRE MAG_Fic_Petra_2019.pdf MAG_Fic_Petra_2019.pdf 1 C6B16189237BF942FC4E76CFCA542652 36bbafe7bd46dc2c583b78318686ac80a27036b149556943a815877acffa74b7 15d989ba-7c11-11eb-bb7a-00155d0001ca 20.500.12556/dkum/f0fe6d22-3853-4e44-afe0-640d6d6888c1 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=139005 Fakulteta za naravoslovje in matematiko 0 0 0