20.500.12556/DKUM-85996 The benefits, costs and feasibility of a low incidence COVID-19 strategy In the summer of 2021, European governments removed most NPIs after experiencing prolonged second and third waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. Most countries failed to achieve immunization rates high enough to avoid resurgence of the virus. Public health strategies for autumn and winter 2021 have ranged from countries aiming at low incidence by re-introducing NPIs to accepting high incidence levels. However, such high incidence strategies almost certainly lead to the very consequences that they seek to avoid: restrictions that harm people and economies. At high incidence, the important pandemic containment measure ‘test-trace-isolate-support’ becomes inefficient. At that point, the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and its numerous harmful consequences can likely only be controlled through restrictions. We argue that all European countries need to pursue a low incidence strategy in a coordinated manner. Such an endeavour can only be successful if it is built on open communication and trust. disease dynamics exponential growth virality strategy dinamika bolezni eksponentna rast viralnost strategija true true true Elsevier Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Članek v reviji 2023-09-25 15:28:20 2023-09-25 15:28:21 2024-02-29 11:05:56 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2022 0 0 str. 1-7 Št. članka 100294 Letn. 13 Feb. 2022 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 2022-01-02 616-036.21 92022531 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100294 2666-7762 The_benefits,_costs_and_feasibi-Czypionka-2022.pdf The_benefits,_costs_and_feasibi-Czypionka-2022.pdf 1 C9CC8F6A02F8A4A7B3EB8DC27320A41B b1feed5b4046038c43d025264d0ed10b16f55f53059ba6fd82234fba40a97e8d d9286a95-5ba8-11ee-ac19-00155d000105 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=172939 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666776221002805?via%3Dihub 0 e2f352b2-5ba8-11ee-ac19-00155d000105 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=172940 Fakulteta za naravoslovje in matematiko 0 0 0