20.500.12556/DKUM-90134 GIS-based modelling reveals the fate of antlion habitats in the Deliblato Sands The Deliblato Sands Special Nature Reserve (DSSNR; Vojvodina, Serbia) is facing a fast successional process. Open sand steppe habitats, considered as regional biodiversity hotspots, have drastically decreased over the last 25 years. This study combines multi-temporal and -spectral remotely sensed data, in-situ sampling techniques and geospatial modelling procedures to estimate and predict the potential development of open habitats and their biota from the perspective of antlions (Neuroptera, Myrmeleontidae). It was confrmed that vegetation density increased in all parts of the study area between 1992 and 2017. Climate change, manifested in the mean annual precipitation amount, signifcantly contributes to the speed of succession that could be completed within a 50-year period. Open grassland habitats could reach an alarming fragmentation rate by 2075 (covering 50 times less area than today), according to selected global climate models and emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). However, M. trigrammus could probably survive in the DSSNR until the frst half of the century, but its subsequent fate is very uncertain. The information provided in this study can serve for efective management of sand steppes, and antlions should be considered important indicators for conservation monitoring and planning. antlions biodiversity climate change Serbia volkci Neuroptera Myrmeleontidae biotska raznovrstnost podnebne spremembe Srbija true true true Nature Publishing Group Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Znanstveno delo 2024-08-23 04:15:00 2024-09-03 12:39:51 2025-01-24 09:13:26 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2020 0 0 Str. 1-9 št. članka 5299 Letn. 10 2020 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno apc 2019-04-10 2020-03-10 2020-03-24 595.741.2(497.113) 16499971 10.1038/s41598-020-62305-3 2045-2322 RAZ_Ivajnsic_Danijel_2020.pdf RAZ_Ivajnsic_Danijel_2020.pdf 1 6E965BF526B1F40B542FC60E8D0FF14C 6c94b64c858a55eea1a2daf6b0a62b5d52291ce88503d3aef07c666396cefd30 c3333165-69e0-11ef-af22-00155d000105 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=184207 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-62305-3 0 ba7744cd-69e0-11ef-af22-00155d000105 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=184206 Fakulteta za naravoslovje in matematiko Filozofska fakulteta 0 0 0