20.500.12556/DKUM-95901 Napadalni realizem in sodobni konflikti: Rusija, Ukrajina in Kitajska magistrsko delo Offensive Realism and Contemporary Conflicts: Russia, Ukraine, and China V magistrski nalogi kritično obravnavamo teorijo napadalnega realizma Johna Mearsheimerja in jo empirično preizkušamo na dveh primerih: retrospektivno analiziramo rusko-ukrajinsko vojno in prospektivno ocenjujemo razvoj Kitajske kot potencialne regionalne hegemonke. V prvem delu predstavimo temeljne postavke napadalnega realizma. V drugem delu jih soočimo z razvojem dogodkov v Ukrajini po letu 2014, s posebnim poudarkom na ruski invaziji leta 2022. V tretjem delu se osredotočamo na Kitajsko, kjer analiziramo njeno zunanjepolitično vedenje, vojaške zmogljivosti in strateške cilje v azijsko-pacifiški regiji. Na podlagi obeh študij primera ugotavljamo, da Mearsheimerjeva teorija ponuja uporaben analitični okvir za razumevanje dinamike moči, vendar hkrati razkriva pomembne omejitve pri razlagi kompleksnih in racionalnih odločitev držav, zlasti v primeru Kitajske. V številnih vidikih se ta kaže kot sila statusa quo, kar preizprašuje univerzalnost napadalnega realizma. Zaključujemo, da je teorija napadalnega realizma dragoceno izhodišče za razumevanje mednarodnih odnosov, a zahteva dopolnitve in kritično presojo v luči empiričnih dejstev. In this master's thesis, we critically examine John Mearsheimer's theory of offensive realism and test it empirically in two cases: we analyze the Russian-Ukrainian war retrospectively and assess the development of China as a potential regional hegemon prospectively. In the first part, we present the basic tenets of offensive realism. In the second part, we confront them with the developments in Ukraine after 2014, with a particular focus on the Russian invasion in 2022. In the third part, we focus on China, analyzing its foreign policy behavior, military capabilities, and strategic goals in the Asia-Pacific region. Based on both case studies, we conclude that Mearsheimer's theory offers a useful analytical framework for understanding power dynamics but also reveals significant limitations in explaining complex and rational decisions by states, particularly in the case of China. In many respects, China appears to be a status quo power, which calls into question the universality of offensive realism. We conclude that offensive realism theory is a valuable starting point for understanding international relations, but it requires supplementation and critical assessment in light of empirical evidence. napadalni realizem Mearsheimer Ukrajina Rusija Kitajska offensive realism Mearsheimer Ukraine Russia China true true false M. Čerkezović Slovenski jezik Angleški jezik Rusija; Ukrajina; Kitajska; Magistrsko delo/naloga 2025-11-06 12:24:05 2025-12-19 12:41:21 2025-12-20 03:19:19 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2025 0 Maribor 0 Maribor 1 spletni vir (1 datoteka PDF (IX, 109 str.)) 0000-00-00 NiDoloceno NiDoloceno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 316:327.5(043.2) 262323971 MAG_Cerkezovic_Miro_2025.pdf MAG_Cerkezovic_Miro_2025.pdf 1 2033615CC7949F254C809142EC1E2F2F 9978395447980c87e0acb78f08d164d7e8fb6d02b00819db4d784fe4e5deb30b 308707a8-bb09-11f0-8c37-00155d000105 https://dk.um.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=200451 Filozofska fakulteta 0 0 0