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Title:DEVIZNI TEČAJ DINARJA IN KONKURENČNOST SRBSKEGA GOSPODARSTVA
Authors:ID Ratković, Irena (Author)
ID Boršič, Darja (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf UNI_Ratkovic_Irena_2010.pdf (495,15 KB)
MD5: F8711E25F558144D6E869C017407087D
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/eaa97523-72ad-4972-b42d-3b8cad44a9a8
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Final seminar paper
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Delo diplomskega seminarja z naslovom Devizni tečaj dinarja in konkurenčnost srbskega gospodarstva je razdeljeno na dva dela, teoretični, ki vsebuje že znana dejstva in empirični, ki vsebuje statistične podatke in predstavijo srbsko gospodarstvo. V teoretičnem delu je pomembna opredelitev deviznega tečaja in njegove definicije. Tukaj smo predstavili, nominalni, realni in efektivni devizni tečaj, klasifikacijo (po IMF) in teorije oblikovanja deviznih tečajev, kot so plačilnobilančna teorija, teorija paritete kupne moči, monetarna ali denarna teorija in premoženjska ali portfeljska teorija. Tudi politična situacija v državi močno vpliva na gibanje deviznih tečajev in s tem tudi na konkurenčnost gospodarstva. Prav zato je pomembna tudi predstavitev srbskega gospodarstva, če namreč vemo, kaj se je dogajalo v državi tako na političnem kot na ekonomskem področju, lažje razumemo razmere v državi. Kazalniki, kot so globalna konkurenčnost, konkurenčnost turizma in kreditni ugled še dodatno oblikujejo sliko gospodarstva. V teoretičnem delu smo predstavili še deviznotečajno politiko v Srbiji. Na to smo navezali empirični del, ki predstavlja izračune nominalnega, realnega in efektivnega deviznega tečaja v obdobju od 2003 do 2008. Pri empiričnem delu smo upoštevali največje izvozne partnerice Srbije v tem obdobju. Najprej smo predstavili nominalni devizni tečaj dinarja v primerjavi z vsako izvozno partnerico. Temu so sledili izračuni realnega deviznega tečaja, ki so nam povedali, če je domače (srbsko) gospodarstvo pridobilo ali izgubilo na konkurenčnosti v primerjavi s svojim partnerjem. Na koncu smo izračunali nominalni efektivni in realni efektivni devizni tečaj. Pri nominalnem efektivnem deviznem tečaju smo pogledali, kako se giblje valuta (dinar) v odnosu na tehtano povprečje valut drugih držav, vključenih v košarici. Pri realnem efektivnem deviznem tečaju smo nominalni efektivni devizni tečaj tako prilagodili, da je postal uporaben za merjenje mednarodne konkurenčnosti države.
Keywords:Ključne besede: bilateralni devizni tečaj, efektivni devizni tečaj, deviznotečajna politika, mednarodna konkurenčnost in Srbija.
Place of publishing:Maribor
Publisher:[I. Ratković]
Year of publishing:2010
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-16021 New window
UDC:336.748
COBISS.SI-ID:10541596 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:2I5FS01Q
Publication date in DKUM:26.01.2011
Views:2801
Downloads:224
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:EPF
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:EXCHANGE RATE OF DINAR AND COMPETITIVENESS OF SERBIAN ECONOMY
Abstract:The thesis entitled Exchange rate of dinar and competitiveness of Serbian economy is separated in two parts, theoretical, which includes already known facts and empirical, which includes statistical facts and calculations that show the whole picture of Serbian economy. Determination of exchange rate and its definition are important in theoretical part. There we have presented nominal, real and effective exchange rate, classification (according to IMF) and theories of shaping exchange rates, like balance of payments, purchasing power parity, monetary or cash theory and property or portfolio theory. Political situation also effect exchange rate and competitiveness of economy. Because of that, presentation of Serbian economy is important too, as we can easily understand the conditions in the country. Indicators, like global competitiveness, tourism competitiveness and credit reputation, additionally shape the picture of economy. In theoretical part we also introduced exchange rate policy in Serbia. To that we have connected empirical part, which represents calculations of nominal, real and effective exchange rate since 2003 to 2008. In the empirical part we considered biggest export partners of Serbia in that period. Firstly, we have represented nominal exchange rate for every export partner in comparison with dinar. That is followed by calculations of real exchange rate, which told us, if domestic (Serbian) economy have increased or decreased competitiveness in comparison with its partner. At the end, we have calculated nominal effective and real effective exchange rate. The nominal effective exchange rate present movement of individual currency (DIN) in relation to average movement of other currencies, included in the basket. In real effective exchange rate, we customized nominal effective exchange rate so that it became usable for measuring international competitiveness of the country.
Keywords:bilateral exchange rate, effective exchange rate, exchange rate policy, international competitiveness and Serbia.


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