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Title:Uporaba metod diskretnega odločanja pri modeliranju izbire prevoznega sredstva v suburbanem okolju
Authors:ID Hmelak, Simon (Author)
ID Lep, Marjan (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf MAG_Hmelak_Simon_2012.pdf (1,81 MB)
MD5: 8E8E2836F1794A803CDCF9E6BDA2A9DA
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/d67f60b1-d37b-4f4c-b635-02fe419ab5ed
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Master's thesis
Organization:FGPA - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture
Abstract:V magistrskem delu je na podlagi logistične distribucije (logit) razvit prometni model oziroma enačba za modeliranje izbire prevoznega sredstva v suburbanih okoljih treh slovenskih mest. Obseg raziskovanja je zajel dnevne migrante naselij, ki gravitirajo na mesta Ljubljana, Maribor in Celje. Osnovni pristop temelji na umerjanju zapisane enačbe z razpoložljivimi statističnimi podatki in podatki sorodnih študij za določitev posplošenih stroškov potovanj ter izračun enotnega koeficienta β, ki določa naklon logit krivulje in predstavlja bistveni element umeritve modela. V treh primerih uporabe modela za prikaz posledic različnih ukrepov so zaznani pozitivni učinki na spodbujanje uporabe javnega potniškega prometa. Z modelom lahko ob minimalnih stroških predvidimo učinke izjemno dragih sistemskih in drugih ukrepov, kot so npr. uvedba integrirane vozovnica, povečanje frekvence voženj, spremembe cen itd.
Keywords:javni potniški promet, dnevni migranti na delo, potovalne navade, izbor prevoznega sredstva, logit
Place of publishing:Maribor
Publisher:[S. Hmelak]
Year of publishing:2012
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-22572 New window
UDC:656.025.2:331.556.48(043.3)
COBISS.SI-ID:15943190 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:VKMR1K4B
Publication date in DKUM:04.04.2012
Views:2850
Downloads:359
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:KTFMB - FG
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:The use of discrete choice methods for modal split modelling in suburban areas
Abstract:In this Master’s thesis a logistic distribution (logit) based model for mode choice modeling is developed, for suburban environments of three Slovenian cities. The scope of investigation covers daily commuters for settlements gravitating to cities Ljubljana, Maribor and Celje. Basic approach is based on calibrating the logit equation with available statistic data and related studies data, to determine the generalized travel costs and β coefficient calculation that provides the logit curve slope and presents an essential item for the model calibration. Three case-studies using the model show its simulation effects on measures taken where positive effects on rising public transport use are detected. With minimum costs the model enables predicting the effect of extremely expensive systemic and other measures such as introduction of integrated ticketing, increasing ride frequencies, pricing changes, etc.
Keywords:public transport, commuters, travel behavior, modal split, logit


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