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Title:OCENJEVANJE KRIVULJE DONOSA ZA OBVLADOVANJE OBRESTNEGA TVEGANJA PRI UPRAVLJANJU S SREDSTVI IN OBVEZNOSTMI
Authors:ID Lorenčič, Eva (Author)
ID Jagrič, Timotej (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf MAG_Lorencic_Eva_2016.pdf (1,75 MB)
MD5: 34CEBD87E76C1EBEF2B9C9758EC98B1E
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Master's thesis/paper
Typology:2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Raziskava magistrskega dela se nanaša na upravljanje s sredstvi in obveznostmi (angl. asset-liability management, ALM) z osredotočenjem na obrestno tveganje. ALM je strateška disciplina, ki se ukvarja z merjenjem vpliva tveganj, ki izhajajo iz bančne knjige, na bilanco stanja; z napovedovanjem teh tveganj v različnih tržnih okoliščinah in ob različnih predpostavkah; in s sprejemanjem ukrepov za obvladovanje teh tveganj. Namen ALM je iskanje ravnovesja med nenaklonjenostjo tveganju in zaslužku premije za tveganje pri zavzemanju vsaj nekoliko tveganih pozicij (pri katerih se sredstva in obveznosti ne ujemajo popolnoma po ročnosti, obsegu, obrestni meri in datumih prilagoditve obrestne mere). Pri ALM gre za prevzemanje »preračunanih tveganj« pri opravljanju funkcije »transformacije« (financiranje dolgoročnih posojil s kratkoročnimi depoziti) z namenom zaslužka premije za tveganje oziroma realizacije dobička. Zaposleni v oddelku ALM svojo strategijo upravljanja s sredstvi in obveznostmi v veliki meri gradijo na pričakovanjih o prihodnjem gibanju terminske strukture obrestnih mer. V aplikativnem delu magistrske naloge se tako ukvarjamo z ocenjevanjem krivulje donosnosti brezkuponskih vrednostnih papirjev, ki je izhodiščna točka za vrednotenje denarnih tokov sredstev in obveznosti v bilanci stanja. Uporabimo dva modela – Nelson-Siegel in kubične zlepke (angl. cubic zlepkes) – za konstrukcijo krivulje donosa brezkuponskih vrednostnih papirjev. Poznavanje krivulje donosa brezkuponskih vrednostnih papirjev predstavlja temelj vrednotenja mnogih finančnih instrumentov (vrednostnih papirjev s fiksnim donosom, obveznic, izvedenih finančnih instrumentov itd.), s tem pa tudi osnovo vseh ALM modelov.
Keywords:Upravljanje s sredstvi in obveznostmi, obrestno tveganje, krivulja donosa, Nelson-Siegel, kubični zlepki.
Place of publishing:Maribor
Publisher:[E. Lorenčič]
Year of publishing:2016
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-57361 New window
UDC:336.71
COBISS.SI-ID:12322332 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:SOC0VNAQ
Publication date in DKUM:14.06.2016
Views:1818
Downloads:299
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:EPF
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:ZERO-COUPON YIELD CURVE ESTIMATION FOR MANAGING INTEREST RATE RISK IN ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Abstract:This master thesis presents the meaning and scope of asset-liability management as a bank function. A special consideration is given to interest rate risk within the ALM. ALM is a strategic discipline focused on measuring the impact of banking book risks on the balance sheet, forecasting those risks under various market assumptions, and managing those risks. The purpose of ALM is to find the fine balance between risk aversion and earning a risk premium when taking on risky positions, where assets and liabilities are not perfectly matched in terms of maturity, volume, and interest rate. ALM is about taking on calculated risks when performing maturity transformations of loans and deposits, the aim of which is to earn a risk premium and to realize profits. The employees in the ALM department decide upon a suitable ALM strategy by considering a number of forecasts of the term structure of interest rates. In the second part of the thesis we thus estimate the zero-coupon yield curve, which is a fundamental building block of cash flow valuations for assets and liabilities on the balance sheet. We apply two models – Nelson-Siegel and cubic zlepkes – to construct the zero-coupon yield curve, which is an essential ingredient for valuing various financial instruments, such as fixed-income securities, bonds, derivatives etc., and hence also a groundwork for any ALM model.
Keywords:Asset-liability management, interest rate risk, yield curve, Nelson-Siegel, cubic splines.


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