| Title: | Synergies between an observed port and a logistic company : application of the discounted cash-flow model and the Monte Carlo simulation |
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| Authors: | ID Dragan, Dejan (Author)
ID Rosi, Bojan (Author)
ID Avžner, Toni (Author) |
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| Files: |  Logistics_&_Sustainable_Transport_2017_Dragan,_Rosi,_Avzner_Synergies_between_an_Observed_Port_and_a_Logistic_Company_Application_of_the.pdf (1,22 MB)
MD5: 3571AD2EBDC1EC8FE06058D1AAF26124
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/eee4c877-cc42-4e78-8c02-68eae4cc7f87
 http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jlst.2017.8.issue-1/jlst-2017-0001/jlst-2017-0001.xml
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| Language: | English |
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| Work type: | Scientific work |
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| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
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| Organization: | FL - Faculty of Logistic
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| Abstract: | The paper addresses an analysis of potential synergies in collaboration between an observed Port in the Mediterranean Sea and Central-European logistic railway-services based company. Both companies have established a strategic partnership. The main motive was cooperation in rail transport, with a particular emphasis on potential synergies that would a rail traffic have brought to a port's business. For the purpose of synergies valuation under uncertain conditions, a Monte Carlo simulation-based framework with integrated discounted cash flow (DCF) model is applied. The possible values of future synergies are calculated via the DCF model by simultaneously changing values of different uncertain financial parameters at each repetition of a Monte Carlo scenario-playing mechanism. In this process, predicted forecasts of future synergetic throughputs are also used for various types of observed cargo. As it turned out, the generated synergies' values follow the approximate normal distribution. Based on statistical inference and analysis of probability intervals it was discovered that there might indeed exist certain important synergies in the collaboration between both companies. This fact has convinced us into a belief in the correctness of companies' decision to enter into such kind of strategic cooperation. |
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| Keywords: | port economics, financial management, valuation, discounted cash-flow model, Monte Carlo simulation, logistics |
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| Publication status: | Published |
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| Publication version: | Version of Record |
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| Year of publishing: | 2017 |
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| Number of pages: | str. 1-18 |
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| Numbering: | Letn. 8, št. 1 |
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| PID: | 20.500.12556/DKUM-66682  |
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| ISSN: | 2232-4968 |
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| UDC: | 656.6 |
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| ISSN on article: | 2232-4968 |
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| COBISS.SI-ID: | 512846141 |
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| DOI: | 10.1515/jlst-2017-0001 |
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| NUK URN: | URN:SI:UM:DK:2UYFT5U2 |
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| Publication date in DKUM: | 06.07.2017 |
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| Views: | 2157 |
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| Downloads: | 441 |
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| Metadata: |    |
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| Categories: | Misc.
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