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Title:Športne stave kot način dolgoročnega investiranja
Authors:ID Kristl, Klemen (Author)
ID Čančer, Vesna (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf MAG_Kristl_Klemen_2018.pdf (2,56 MB)
MD5: BF1BD575ADD52DCF375FA0003E081EB6
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/cabf7556-c9ec-4fe7-8450-d5172eac15a9
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Master's thesis/paper
Typology:2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Športne stave so v današnjem svetu zelo popularne. V očeh večine udeležencev na trgu športnih stav predstavljajo lahko pot do hitrega zaslužka. To zmotno mišljenje izhaja predvsem iz nepoznavanja posebnosti trga športnih stav, kar posledično privede to tega, da večina udeležencev na trgu športnih stav dolgoročno izgublja. Domnevali smo, da bi boljše poznavanje trga športnih stav to lahko spremenilo, zato smo trg športnih stav preučili in ugotovitve predstavljamo. Magistrsko delo je razdeljeno na teoretični in empirični del. V teoretičnem delu športne stave opredeljujemo kot igre znanja, ki izhajajo iz teorije iger in teorije odločanja. Želeli smo pojasniti razlike med igrami znanja in igrami naključij ter predstaviti teoretične poglede na odločanje v razmerah tveganja in negotovosti. Predstavljamo trg športnih stav in njegovo delovanje opredeljujemo z ekonomskih vidikov. Pri raziskovanju trga športnih stav smo odkrili veliko podobnosti s finančnim trgom, ki so nas privedle do hipotez učinkovitega trga, na podlagi katerih smo preverjali učinkovitost trga športnih stav. V magistrskem delu predstavljamo vse tri oblike hipotez učinkovitega trga: šibko, srednje močno in močno. V empiričnem delu na podlagi predstavljenih lastnosti trga športnih stav preverjamo učinkovitost trga športnih stav v košarkarski ligi NBA. Ugotovili smo, da je trg, kljub nekaterim vzorcem, ki bi lahko namigovali na nasprotno, učinkovit in da na njem ni bilo mogoče dosegati pozitivnega donosa. Poleg tega smo med naključno izbranimi aktivnimi igralci na trgu športnih stav z anketnim vprašalnikom preverili poznavanje trga športnih stav. Analiza zbranih podatkov je potrdila naše domneve, da udeleženci na trgu športnih stav trg slabo poznajo in se ne zavedajo vseh pasti, ki jih trg športnih stav vsebuje. Na koncu povzemamo vse ugotovitve iz teoretičnega in empiričnega dela magistrskega dela ter predstavljamo model dolgoročnega investiranja na trgu športnih stav, ki bi po našem mnenju dolgoročno lahko prinašal pozitivni donos.
Keywords:športne stave, trg športnih stav, učinkovitost trga športnih stav, teorija iger, model dolgoročnega investiranja
Place of publishing:Maribor
Publisher:[K. Kristl]
Year of publishing:2017
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-68690 New window
UDC:7
COBISS.SI-ID:12973596 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:MZJQZLZ6
Publication date in DKUM:30.01.2018
Views:2456
Downloads:306
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:EPF
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Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:09.10.2017

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Sports betting as a way of long-term investment
Abstract:Sports betting is very popular in today's world. In the eyes of most participants in the market of sports betting, it can be a quick way to earn money. This misconception arises from ignorance of the specificities of the sports betting market, which in turn leads to the fact that the majority of participants are losing in the long run. We assumed that a better knowledge of the sports betting market could have changed this and that is why we studied the sports betting market and presented the findings. We divided the master's thesis into the theoretical and empirical part. In the theoretical part, we defined sports betting as a knowledge game, derived from game theory and decision theory. We wanted to clarify the differences between knowledge games and coincidental games and present theoretical views on decision-making in situations of risk and uncertainty. We presented the sports betting market and defined its operations from an economic point of view. By studying the sports betting market, we found many similarities with the financial market, which led us to the hypothesis of an effective market. Based on this, we checked the sports betting market efficiency. We presented all three forms of the efficient market hypothesis, weak, medium strong and strong. In the empirical part, we checked the sports betting market efficiency in the NBA basketball league based on the presented characteristics of the sports betting market. We have found that, irrespective of some patterns which may suggest the opposite, the market is effective and that it was not possible to achieve positive returns on it. Furthermore, we checked the knowledge of the sports betting market with a questionnaire among a randomly selected part of active players. The analysis of the collected data confirmed our assumptions that participants in the market are poorly informed of it and are not aware of all the traps that the sports betting market contains. At the end, we summarized the findings of the theoretical and empirical work of the master's thesis and carried out a model of long-term investment in the sports betting market that we believe could in the long run yield positive returns.
Keywords:sports betting, sports betting market, sports betting market efficiency, game theory, long-term investment model


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