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Title:Financial distress prediction of Iranian companies using data minig techniques
Authors:ID Moradi, Mahdi (Author)
ID Salehi, Mahdi (Author)
ID Ghorgani, Mohammad Ebrahim (Author)
ID Sadoghi Yazdi, Hadi (Author)
Files:.pdf Organizacija_2013_Moradi_et_al._Financial_Distress_Prediction_of_Iranian_Companies_Using_Data_Mining_Techniques.pdf (1,10 MB)
MD5: 95F1E9FCD96D893D2673511583DC6A0C
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/bde7ecec-e80d-403d-b504-917ecc6947d9
 
URL http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/orga.2013.46.issue-1/orga-2013-0003/orga-2013-0003.xml
 
Language:English
Work type:Scientific work
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FOV - Faculty of Organizational Sciences in Kranj
Abstract:Decision-making problems in the area of financial status evaluation are considered very important. Making incorrect decisions in firms is very likely to cause financial crises and distress. Predicting financial distress of factories and manufacturing companies is the desire of managers and investors, auditors, financial analysts, governmental officials, employees. Therefore, the current study aims to predict financial distress of Iranian Companies. The current study applies support vector data description (SVDD) to the financial distress prediction problem in an attempt to suggest a new model with better explanatory power and stability. To serve this purpose, we use a grid-search technique using 3-fold cross-validation to find out the optimal parameter values of kernel function of SVDD. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVDD, we compare its performance with fuzzy c-means (FCM).The experiment results show that SVDD outperforms the other method in years before financial distress occurrence. The data used in this research were obtained from Iran Stock Market and Accounting Research Database. According to the data between 2000 and 2009, 70 pairs of companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange are selected as initial data set.
Keywords:financial distress prediction, Support vector data description, Fuzzy c-mean
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Year of publishing:2013
Number of pages:str. 20-28
Numbering:Letn. 46, št. 1
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-69115 New window
ISSN:1318-5454
UDC:005.511:658.14/.17(55)
ISSN on article:1318-5454
COBISS.SI-ID:269481728 New window
DOI:10.2478/orga-2013-0003 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:UJJUSDPE
Publication date in DKUM:30.11.2017
Views:1110
Downloads:214
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:Misc.
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Organizacija : revija za management, informatiko in kadre
Shortened title:Organizacija
Publisher:Moderna organizacija
ISSN:1318-5454
COBISS.SI-ID:610909 New window

Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:30.11.2017

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Predvidevanje finančnih pretresov v iranskih podjetjih z uporabo rudarjenja podatkov
Abstract:Odločanje na področju evaluacije finančnega statusa podjetij so zelo pomembne: napačne odločitve zelo verjetno povzročijo pretres in finančno krizo podjetja. Predvidevanje finančnih kriz in pretresov v proizvodnih podjetjih je pomembno za manager­je, investitorje, revizorje, finančne analitike, državne uradnike in zaposlene. Cilj tega članka je analizirati predvidevanje finanč­nih pretresov v iranskih podjetjih. Naša študija uporablja metodo SVDD (Support Vector Data Description) za predvidevanje finančnih pretresov in predlaga nov bolj stabilen model predvidevanja z večjo močjo razlage. V ta namen smo uporabili tehni­ko preiskovanja mreže in uporabili 3-kratno prečno validacijo, da smo poiskali parametre jedrne funkcije SVDD. Da bi ocenili natančnost predvidevanja SVDD, smo jo primerjali z metodo FCM (fuzzy c-means). Rezultati eksperimenta so pokazali, da je SVDD uspešnejša od drugih metod v letih pred pojavam finančnega pretresa. Podatke, ki smo jih uporabili v naši študiji, smo dobili s teheranske borze in baze podatkov računovodskih raziskav. V skladu s podatki iz obdobja 2000 in 2009 smo izbrali 70 parov družb, ki so bile uvrščene na teheransko borzo.
Keywords:Iran, podjetja, poslovne finance, finančno poslovanje, odločanje, planiranje


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This document is a part of these collections:
  1. Organizacija

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