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Title:Uspešnost modelov napovedovanja propada podjetja
Authors:ID Majcan, Ana (Author)
ID Kolar, Iztok (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf UN_Majcan_Ana_2020.pdf (662,92 KB)
MD5: E4179F4EF166766651CB4FCD1C50F588
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/48afb4f2-1354-4703-bf4a-f1bf81d4de85
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Diploma project paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:V delu diplomskega projekta obravnavamo področje modelov napovedovanja propada podjetja in njihovo uspešnost. Razvoj modelov, ki so zmožni razpoznati podjetja, pri katerih obstaja tveganje propada, je ključnega pomena za različne deležnike podjetij in za družbo nasploh. Skozi razvoj modelov strojnega učenja so znanstveniki in raziskovalci strmeli k razvijanju vedno novih in izboljšanih modelov ter k nadgradnji obstoječih. Modeli napovedovanja propada podjetja so v današnjem okolju uporabno in nepogrešljivo orodje za računovodje, finančnike in managerje, ki si prizadevajo za hitro in učinkovito sprejemanje odločitev o upravljanju in vodenju podjetij. Pravočasna in ustrezna napoved propada podjetja lahko namreč prepreči, da bi se podjetje znašlo v hudi finančni stiski, iz katere ne bi našlo izhoda z možnostjo nadaljnjega obstoja. V delu se še posebej osredotočamo na uspešnost Altmanovega modela. Na podlagi izvedene analize ugotavljamo, da bi z Altmanovim modelom bilo mogoče pravočasno in ustrezno napovedati propad treh izbranih slovenskih podjetij, zato model ocenjujemo kot uspešen.
Keywords:napovedovanje propada podjetja, modeli napovedovanja propada podjetij, multivariatna diskriminantna analiza, Altmanov model, propadla slovenska podjetja.
Place of publishing:Maribor
Publisher:[A. Majcan]
Year of publishing:2020
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-76993 New window
UDC:005.5
COBISS.SI-ID:38164739 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:BWTAEPRC
Publication date in DKUM:18.11.2020
Views:1377
Downloads:160
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:EPF
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Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:07.08.2020

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:The Performance of Bankruptcy Prediction Models
Abstract:In the diploma project we discuss the field of bankruptcy prediction models and their success. The development of models that are able to identify companies at risk of going bankrupt is crucial for various company stakeholders, and for the society in general. Through the development of machine learning models, scientists and researchers strived to develop new and ever improved models, and to upgrade the existing ones. In today's environment, bankruptcy prediction models are a useful and indispensable tool for accountants, financiers, and managers who strive to make quick and effective decisions about corporate governance. A timely and appropriate prediction of the company's bankruptcy can prevent the company from finding itself in severe financial distress, from which it would not find a way out with the possibility of continued existence. The paper focuses, in particular, on the performance of Altman`s model. Based on the performed analysis, we conclude that using Altman's model it would be possible to appropriately predict the bankruptcy of three selected Slovenian companies in time. Therefore, we rate the model as successful.
Keywords:bankruptcy prediction, bankruptcy prediction models, multivariate discriminant analysis, Altman`s model, bankrupt Slovenian companies.


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