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Title:Napovedovanje intervencij z uporabo umetne inteligence : magistrsko delo
Authors:ID Rutnik, Rok (Author)
ID Klančnik, Simon (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
ID Berus, Lucijano (Comentor)
Files:.pdf MAG_Rutnik_Rok_2020.pdf (7,00 MB)
MD5: 889CD3FBC9023BA4EB2D9559971E5B0D
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/f73edd20-09e3-4e3e-866d-cca016a653de
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Master's thesis/paper
Typology:2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:FS - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering
Abstract:Namen naloge je izdelava matematičnih modelov napovedovanja za odločitve upravljanja, osnovane na inteligentnih, kvantitativnih analizah. Magistrsko delo obravnava področje napovedovanja števila interventnih dogodkov Gasilske brigade Maribor s pomočjo umetne inteligence in regresijskih modelov. Učne množice podatkov so bile pridobljene iz baz podatkov SPIN in ARSO, obdelane v programskem jeziku Python, modeli napovedovanja pa programirani v programskem paketu MATLAB. Cilj naloge je bil izdelava štirih regresijskih algoritmov, umetne nevronske mreže LSTM in NARX za napovedovanja dogodkov, njihove rezultate pa preko metrik ocenjevanja natančnosti medsebojno primerjati. Rezultati napovedovanja nekaterih učnih množic so bili zaradi majhnih korelacijskih povezav slabi, zato teh dogodkov nismo mogli napovedovati. Požarne intervencije in naravne nesreče so dale dovolj dobre rezultate korelacijskih analiz, zato so bile uporabljene v izgradnji nevronskih mrež. Glede na rezultate zbranih modelov menimo, da so nevronske mreže primernejše za napovedovanje interventnih dogodkov kot regresijski modeli.
Keywords:napovedovanje, umetna inteligenca, nevronske mreže, strojno učenje, regresija
Place of publishing:Maribor
Place of performance:Maribor
Publisher:[R. Rutnik]
Year of publishing:2020
Number of pages:XII, 80 str.
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-77888 New window
UDC:004.8(043.2)
COBISS.SI-ID:38183427 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:IFU9PRAV
Publication date in DKUM:11.11.2020
Views:3450
Downloads:130
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:KTFMB - FS
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Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:19.09.2020

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Interventions prediction using artificial intelligence
Abstract:The purpose of the thesis is to create mathematical forecasting models for management decisions based on intelligent, quantitative analyzes. The master's thesis deals with the field of predicting the number of intervention events of the Maribor Fire Brigade with the help of artificial intelligence and regression models. Learning data sets were obtained from SPIN and ARSO databases, processed in the Python programming language, and prediction models were programmed in the MATLAB software package. The aim of the task was to develop four regression algorithms, an artificial neural network LSTM and NARX for predicting events, and to compare their results with each other through metrics for estimating accuracy. The prediction results of some learning sets were poor due to small correlations, so we could not predict these events. Fire interventions and natural disasters gave good enough results of correlation analyzes, so they were used in the construction of neural networks. Based on the results of the collected models, we believe that neural networks are more suitable for predicting intervention events than regression models.
Keywords:forecast, artificial intelligence, neural networks, machine learning, regression


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