| Title: | Comparison of the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy |
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| Authors: | ID Chiruţa, Ciprian (Author)
ID Bulgariu, Emilian (Author)
ID Avsec, Jurij (Author)
ID Ferčec, Brigita (Author)
ID Mencinger, Matej (Author) |
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| Files: |  Applied_System_Innovation_2020_Chiruţă_et_al._Comparison_of_the_Evolution_of_the_COVID-19_Disease_between_Romania_and_Italy.pdf (8,75 MB)
MD5: 8DFAAD7317A104BD577B989D497D08B3
PID: 20.500.12556/dkum/225651ed-e19f-41a9-8d41-4c817b5f5f56
 https://doi.org/10.3390/asi3040044
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| Language: | English |
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| Work type: | Scientific work |
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| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
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| Organization: | FGPA - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture
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| Abstract: | After the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy, thousands of Romanian citizens who worked in Northern Italy, Spain or Germany returned to Romania. Based on the time-dependent susceptible–infected–recovered—SIR model, this paper compares the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy, assuming that the parameter value of R0 in the time-dependent SIR model decreases to R1 < R0 after publicly announced restrictions by the government, and increases to a value of R2 < R1 when the restrictions are lifted. Among other things, we answer the questions about the date and extent of the second peak in Italy and Romania with respect to different values of R2 and the duration of the restrictions. |
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| Keywords: | COVID-19 pandemic evolution, time dependent SIR model, coronavirus |
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| Publication status: | Published |
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| Publication version: | Version of Record |
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| Submitted for review: | 14.09.2020 |
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| Article acceptance date: | 12.10.2020 |
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| Publication date: | 14.10.2020 |
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| Publisher: | MDPI AG |
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| Year of publishing: | 2020 |
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| Number of pages: | Str. 1-21 |
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| Numbering: | Letn. 3, št. 4, št. članka 44 |
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| PID: | 20.500.12556/DKUM-78383  |
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| UDC: | 517.97 |
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| ISSN on article: | 2571-5577 |
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| COBISS.SI-ID: | 32804867 |
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| DOI: | 10.3390/asi3040044 |
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| NUK URN: | URN:SI:UM:DK:G3JJT0UO |
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| Publication date in DKUM: | 22.12.2020 |
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| Views: | 1220 |
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| Downloads: | 230 |
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| Metadata: |    |
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| Categories: | Misc.
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