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Title:What is the nature of the dynamics between government spending and aggregate output in the Nordic countries?
Authors:ID Senekovič, Marko (Author)
Files:URL https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/ngoe-2022-0001
 
URL https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/ngoe-2022-0001
 
Language:English
Work type:Scientific work
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:The main aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between government consumption and aggregate output in five Nordic countries in two different scenarios: first, in periods when government consumption increases and, second, in periods when government consumption decreases. Therefore, the nonlinear ARDL model is applied to test for the presence of a short-run and long-run asymmetry in output response to government consumption. The key findings are as follows. First, based on the linear model, a positive connection between government consumption and economic activity has been confirmed, both in the short and long term, which is also in line with the predictions of economic theory. Second, based on the nonlinear model, six out of ten shortterm coefficients are statistically significant, as are six out of ten long-term coefficients, with statistically significant asymmetry detected in four out of ten cases. Thus, estimated test statistics and graphical analysis suggest the presence of a negatively inclined asymmetry in the relationship between government consumption and the dynamic of aggregate output with stronger output response in periods when government consumption decreases.
Keywords:fiscal policy, Nordic countries, nonlinear ARDL model
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:13.04.2022
Year of publishing:2022
Number of pages:str. 1-13
Numbering:Vol. 68, no. 1
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-84535-293fcde7-c0cf-49e9-cefd-857a9f169f77 New window
UDC:330.567.4:336.1(4-17)
ISSN on article:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:113159939 New window
DOI:10.2478/ngoe-2022-0001 New window
Publication date in DKUM:19.06.2023
Views:753
Downloads:231
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:Misc.
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Naše gospodarstvo : revija za aktualna gospodarska vprašanja
Shortened title:Naše gospod.
Publisher:Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta, Društvo ekonomistov Maribor, Ekonomski center Maribor
ISSN:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:751364 New window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Kakšna je narava dinamike med državno potrošnjo in agregatnim outputom v nordijskih državah?
Abstract:Glavni namen tega članka je analiza razmerja med državno potrošnjo in agregatnim outputom v petih nordijskih državah v primeru dveh različnih scenarijev: prvič, v obdobjih, ko se državna potrošnja povečuje, in drugič, v obdobjih, ko se državna potrošnja zmanjšuje. Za testiranje prisotnosti kratkoročne in dolgoročne asimetrije pri odzivu outputa na državno potrošnjo uporabimo nelinearni ARDL model. Ključne ugotovitve so naslednje. Prvič, na podlagi linearnega modela je bila potrjena pozitivna povezava med državno potrošnjo in ekonomsko aktivnostjo tako na kratek kot na dolgi rok, kar je tudi v skladu z napovedmi ekonomske teorije. Drugič, na podlagi nelinearnega modela je šest od desetih kratkoročnih koeficientov ocenjenih za statistično značilne, prav tako šest od desetih dolgoročnih koeficientov, pri čemer je statistično značilna asimetrija odkrita v štirih od desetih primerov. Ocenjena testna statistika skupaj z grafično analizo tako kaže na prisotnost negativno nagnjene asimetrije v razmerju med državno potrošnjo in dinamiko agregatnega outputa z močnejšim odzivom outputa v obdobjih, ko se državna potrošnja zmanjšuje.
Keywords:fiskalna politika, nordijske države, nelinearni ARDL model


Collection

This document is a part of these collections:
  1. Naše gospodarstvo

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