| Title: | Complexity of the COVID‑19 pandemic in Maringá |
|---|
| Authors: | ID Sunahara, Andre S. (Author)
ID Pessa, Arthur A. B. (Author)
ID Perc, Matjaž (Author)
ID Ribeiro, Haroldo V. (Author) |
|---|
| Files: |  Sunahara-2023-Complexity_of_the_COVID-19_pande.pdf (1,79 MB)
MD5: 18F2ACAFCC17A001EAFEF1BC542F2E12
 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-39815-x
|
|---|
| Language: | English |
|---|
| Work type: | Scientific work |
|---|
| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
|---|
| Organization: | FNM - Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics
|
|---|
| Abstract: | While extensive literature exists on the COVID-19 pandemic at regional and national levels, understanding its dynamics and consequences at the city level remains limited. This study investigates the pandemic in Maringá, a medium-sized city in Brazil’s South Region, using data obtained by actively monitoring the disease from March 2020 to June 2022. Despite prompt and robust interventions, COVID-19 cases increased exponentially during the early spread of COVID-19, with a reproduction number lower than that observed during the initial outbreak in Wuhan. Our research demonstrates the remarkable impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on both mobility and pandemic indicators, particularly during the onset and the most severe phases of the emergency. However, our results suggest that the city’s measures were primarily reactive rather than proactive. Maringá faced six waves of cases, with the third and fourth waves being the deadliest, responsible for over two-thirds of all deaths and overwhelming the local healthcare system. Excess mortality during this period exceeded deaths attributed to COVID-19, indicating that the burdened healthcare system may have contributed to increased mortality from other causes. By the end of the fourth wave, nearly three-quarters of the city’s population had received two vaccine doses, signifcantly decreasing deaths despite the surge caused by the Omicron variant. Finally, we compare these fndings with the national context and other similarly sized cities, highlighting substantial heterogeneities in the spread and impact of the disease. |
|---|
| Keywords: | complex system, correlation, epidemics, COVID-19 |
|---|
| Geographic coverage: | Brazilija; |
|---|
| Publication status: | Published |
|---|
| Publication version: | Version of Record |
|---|
| Submitted for review: | 24.05.2023 |
|---|
| Article acceptance date: | 28.07.2023 |
|---|
| Publication date: | 04.08.2023 |
|---|
| Publisher: | Nature Publishing Group |
|---|
| Year of publishing: | 2023 |
|---|
| Number of pages: | Str. 1-15 |
|---|
| Numbering: | Letn. 13, Št. članka 12695 |
|---|
| PID: | 20.500.12556/DKUM-88198  |
|---|
| UDC: | 53 |
|---|
| ISSN on article: | 2045-2322 |
|---|
| COBISS.SI-ID: | 162172419 |
|---|
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-023-39815-x |
|---|
| Publication date in DKUM: | 17.07.2024 |
|---|
| Views: | 295 |
|---|
| Downloads: | 597 |
|---|
| Metadata: |    |
|---|
| Categories: | Misc.
|
|---|
|
:
|
Copy citation |
|---|
| | | | Average score: | (0 votes) |
|---|
| Your score: | Voting is allowed only for logged in users. |
|---|
| Share: |  |
|---|
Hover the mouse pointer over a document title to show the abstract or click
on the title to get all document metadata. |
