| Title: | The Lyme borreliosis spatial footprint in the 21st century : a key study of Slovenia |
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| Authors: | ID Donša, Daša (Author)
ID Grujić, Jaša Veno (Author)
ID Pipenbaher, Nataša (Author)
ID Ivajnšič, Danijel (Author) |
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| Files: |  Donsa-2021-The_Lyme_Borreliosis_Spatial_Footpr.pdf (6,40 MB)
MD5: 9BDB5D78717DEE7C7701D656B54DBECC
 https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182212061
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| Language: | English |
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| Work type: | Article |
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| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
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| Organization: | FNM - Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics
FF - Faculty of Arts
PEF - Faculty of Education
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| Abstract: | After mosquitoes, ticks are the most important vectors of infectious diseases. They play an important role in public health. In recent decades, we discovered new tick-borne diseases; additionally, those that are already known are spreading to new areas because of climate change. Slovenia is an endemic region for Lyme borreliosis and one of the countries with the highest incidence of this disease on a global scale. Thus, the spatial pattern of Slovenian Lyme borreliosis prevalence was modelled with 246 indicators and transformed into 24 uncorrelated predictor variables that were applied in geographically weighted regression and regression tree algorithms. The projected potential shifts in Lyme borreliosis foci by 2050 and 2070 were calculated according to the RCP8.5 climate scenario. These results were further applied to developing a Slovenian Lyme borreliosis infection risk map, which could be used as a preventive decision support system. |
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| Keywords: | CART, climate change, MGWR, Lyme disease, infection risk, spatial modelling |
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| Geographic coverage: | Slovenija; |
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| Publication status: | Published |
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| Publication version: | Version of Record |
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| Submitted for review: | 29.08.2021 |
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| Article acceptance date: | 15.11.2021 |
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| Publication date: | 17.11.2021 |
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| Publisher: | MDPI |
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| Year of publishing: | 2021 |
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| Number of pages: | Str. 1-11 |
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| Numbering: | Letn. 18, Št. 22, št. članka 12061 |
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| PID: | 20.500.12556/DKUM-89778  |
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| UDC: | 616.98:579.834.1 |
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| ISSN on article: | 1660-4601 |
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| COBISS.SI-ID: | 85910787 |
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| DOI: | 10.3390/ijerph182212061 |
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| Publication date in DKUM: | 12.08.2024 |
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| Views: | 236 |
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| Downloads: | 22 |
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| Metadata: |    |
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| Categories: | Misc.
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