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Title:The relationship between oil prices and stock prices of the European renewable energy companies : a vector autoregressive analysis
Authors:ID Slatina, Enis (Author)
ID Lazović-Pita, Lejla (Author)
ID Abdić, Ademir (Author)
ID Abdić, Adem (Author)
Files:URL https://journals.um.si/index.php/oe/article/view/3388
 
URL https://journals.um.si/index.php/oe/article/view/3388
 
.pdf RAZ_Slatina_Enis_2023.pdf (501,91 KB)
MD5: 95D885B84007BF5B2EC51F0D17FEE582
 
Language:English
Work type:Scientific work
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:This article aims to examine the potential relationship between Brent crude oil futures prices and the index of the European renewable energy companies. After the overview of the European legislation and the most recent literature review on the topic, the article deploys a method of the Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR). The analysis includes weekly data over eight years (2015- 2022). Our results indicate a positive correlation between Brent crude oil futures prices and the value of the European Renewable Energy Total Return (ERIX) index. The estimated bivariate VAR model indicates a statistically significant relationship, meaning that past values of the ERIX Index may be used to predict future Brent crude oil prices in the long run. Considering the most recent systemic disturbance in the world’s commodity market, future research should consider longer time series and possible relationships of other macroeconomic factors.
Keywords:renewable energy, Brent crude oil, futures prices, ERIX index, VAR
Publication date:25.12.2023
Year of publishing:2023
Number of pages:str. 1-11
Numbering:Vol. 69, no. 4
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-92947-266edc92-a22f-d432-4969-a4e12a8527c9 New window
UDC:338.5:620.9
ISSN on article:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:181951235 New window
DOI:10.2478/ngoe-2023-0019 New window
Publication date in DKUM:28.05.2025
Views:154
Downloads:6
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:Misc.
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Naše gospodarstvo : revija za aktualna gospodarska vprašanja
Shortened title:Naše gospod.
Publisher:Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta, Društvo ekonomistov Maribor, Ekonomski center Maribor
ISSN:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:751364 New window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Povezava med cenami nafte in cenami delnic evropskih podjetij za obnovljive vire energije : vektorska avtoregresijska analiza
Abstract:Cilj tega članka je proučiti morebitno povezavo med cenami surove nafte Brent po terminskih pogodbah in indeksom evropskih podjetij za obnovljive vire energije. Po pregledu evropske zakonodaje in pregledu najnovejše literature na to temo je v članku uporabljena metoda vektorskega avtoregresijskega modela (VAR). Analiza vključuje tedenske podatke za obdobje osmih let (2015-2022). Naši rezultati kažejo na pozitivno korelacijo med terminskimi cenami surove nafte Brent in vrednostjo indeksa ERIX (European Renewable Energy Total Return). Ocenjeni bivariatni model VAR kaže na statistično značilno povezavo, kar pomeni, da je mogoče pretekle vrednosti indeksa ERIX uporabiti za dolgoročno napovedovanje prihodnjih cen surove nafte Brent. Glede na zadnje sistemske motnje na svetovnem trgu blaga bi bilo treba v prihodnjih raziskavah upoštevati daljše časovne vrste in morebitne povezave drugih makroekonomskih dejavnikov.
Keywords:obnovljiva energija, surova nafta Brent, terminske pogodbe, indeks ERIX, VAR


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  1. Naše gospodarstvo

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