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Title:Development of Slovenian macroeconomic imbalances and their synchronization with EU Countries
Authors:ID Bednářová, Pavla (Author)
ID Hovorková Valentová, Vladimíra (Author)
Files:URL https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002
 
.pdf RAZ_Bednařova_Pavla_2025.pdf (469,41 KB)
MD5: 417CAA6FF73BB477D975E7BA58015EA1
 
Language:English
Work type:Scientific work
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Slovenia and other EU member states are subject to the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure. This article aims to evaluate the macroeconomic imbalances of the Slovenian economy and its synchronisation with other EU countries from 2013 to 2022. Eleven Scoreboard indicators are used to monitor external and internal macroeconomic imbalances. The originality of the paper relates to the use of cluster analysis to determine Slovenia's position among other EU countries in terms of imbalance indicators by dividing EU countries into clusters based on their similarity. The process used the standardized squared Euclidean distance as the basic metric, the furthest neighbour method was used to cluster the objects, which are represented graphically by a dendrogram. Slovenia exhibited relative stability in both external and internal macroeconomic imbalances between 2013 and 2022. However, in the last three years, it showed threshold values for the nominal unit labour cost index, general government gross debt, and there was a risk associated with the development of the house price index. The cluster analysis revealed that Slovenia's external macroeconomic imbalances were significantly synchronized with core EU countries in 2014 and 2022. In 2017 and 2020, macroeconomic imbalances exhibited similarities with the Baltic and Central European countries. The internal macroeconomic balance remained stable in the monitored period, and it developed in sync with the core EU countries and Central European countries
Keywords:Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure, Slovenia, cluster analysis, dendrogram
Publication date:03.04.2025
Year of publishing:2025
Number of pages:str. 12-21
Numbering:Vol. 71, no. 1
PID:20.500.12556/DKUM-93034 New window
UDC:330.101.541(497.4)
ISSN on article:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:237955331 New window
DOI:10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002 New window
Publication date in DKUM:02.06.2025
Views:155
Downloads:5
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:Misc.
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Naše gospodarstvo : revija za aktualna gospodarska vprašanja
Shortened title:Naše gospod.
Publisher:Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta, Društvo ekonomistov Maribor, Ekonomski center Maribor
ISSN:0547-3101
COBISS.SI-ID:751364 New window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Razvoj slovenskih makroekonomskih neravnovesij in njihova sinhronizacija z državami EU
Abstract:Slovenija je skupaj z drugimi državami članicami EU vključena v postopek v zvezi z makroekonomskimi neravnotežji. Namen članka je oceniti makroekonomska neravnovesja slovenskega gospodarstva in njegovo sinhronizacijo z drugimi državami EU v obdobju 2013-2022. Za spremljanje zunanjih in notranjih makroekonomskih neravnovesij se uporablja enajst kazalnikov. Izvirnost članka se nanaša na uporabo klastrske analize za določitev položaja Slovenije med drugimi državami EU glede na kazalnike neravnovesij z razdelitvijo držav EU v skupine na podlagi njihove podobnosti. V postopku je bila kot osnovna metoda uporabljena standardizirana evklidska razdalja v kvadratu, za razvrščanje v skupine držav, ki so grafično prikazane z dendrogramom, pa je bila uporabljena metoda najbolj oddaljenega soseda. Slovenija je med letoma 2013 in 2022 izkazovala relativno stabilnost zunanjih in notranjih makroekonomskih neravnovesij. V zadnjih treh letih pa je pokazala mejne vrednosti za indeks nominalnih stroškov dela na enoto, bruto javni dolg in obstajalo je tveganje, povezano z gibanjem indeksa cen stanovanj. Klastrska analiza je pokazala, da so bila zunanja makroekonomska neravnovesja Slovenije v letih 2014 in 2022 pomembno sinhronizirana z državami jedra EU. V letih 2017 in 2020 so makroekonomska neravnotežja kazala podobnosti z baltskimi in srednjeevropskimi državami. Notranje makroekonomsko ravnotežje je v opazovanem obdobju ostalo stabilno in se je razvijalo sinhronizirano z državami jedra EU in srednjeevropskimi državami.
Keywords:postopek v primeru makroekonomskega neravnovesja, Slovenija, klastrska analiza, dendrogram


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  1. Naše gospodarstvo

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