Ekonometrična analiza potrošne funkcije na Danskem, Švedskem in Norveškem

Majerič, Larisa

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Title:	Ekonometrična analiza potrošne funkcije na Danskem, Švedskem in Norveškem
Authors:	ID Majerič, Larisa (Author) ID Boršič, Darja (Mentor) More about this mentor... ID Fir, Nejc (Comentor)
Files:	UN_Majeric_Larisa_2025.pdf (1,67 MB) MD5: C57EAB9B46537718D6A4FA7BB671B474
Language:	Slovenian
Work type:	Bachelor thesis/paper
Typology:	2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:	EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:	Diplomsko delo obravnava ekonometrično analizo potrošne funkcije na Danskem, Švedskem in Norveškem, ki predstavlja pomemben makroekonomski dejavnik. Teoretična izhodišča izhajajo iz sodobnih kot tudi klasičnih teorij potrošnje avtorjev Keynes, Fisher, Modigliani in Friedman, kateri so vsi pomembno prispevali k razumevanju ekonomije in pomenu potrošnje. Avtorji poudarjajo vpliv razpoložljivega dohodka, varčevanja gospodinjstev in pričakovanj na oblikovanje potrošnih vzorcev. Analitični del temelji na kvartalnih podatkih v izbranem obdobju od leta 2000 do leta 2023, kjer so bili z uporabo metode najmanjših kvadratov, ocenjeni regresijski modeli posameznih izbranih držav. V okviru empirične analize so bile preverjene ključne predpostavke linearnega regresijskega modela, vključno z normalno porazdelitvijo, multikolinearnostjo, heteroskedastičnostjo in avtokorelacijo. Za preverjanje predpostavk so bili uporabljeni testi Jarque-Bera, Breusch-Pagan, White, Glejser, Durin-Watson kot tudi upoštevanje vrednosti variančno-inflacijskega faktorja. Rezultati potrjujejo, da je razpoložljivi dohodek statistično značilen dejavnik potrošnje v vseh treh državah, ob tem pa imajo zelo pomembno vlogo tudi razmere na trgu dela, katerih odziv je moč razbrati iz stopnje zaposlenosti in stopnje brezposelnosti. Danska in Švedska izkazujeta visoko stabilnost potrošnih vzorcev, medtem ko je potrošnja na Norveškem bolj volatilna, izrazito v časih kriznih razmer, predvsem zaradi vpliva cen energentov in nihanja obrestnih mer. Empirična analiza diplomskega dela potrjuje, da so dohodkovne spremenljivke ključen determinant potrošnje, hkrati pa je analiza pokazala, da se na ravni posameznih gospodarstev odražajo posebnosti makroekonomskega okolja, tudi med tako ekonomsko, politično, socialno, kulturno in zgodovinsko povezanimi državami kot so Danska, Švedska in Norveška.
Keywords:	Potrošna funkcija, ekonometrična analiza, metoda najmanjših kvadratov, gospodinjstva, Danska, Švedska, Norveška.
Place of publishing:	Maribor
Publisher:	L. Majeričr]
Year of publishing:	2025
PID:	20.500.12556/DKUM-95079
UDC:	330.43:330.567.22
COBISS.SI-ID:	252672003
Publication date in DKUM:	10.10.2025
Views:	159
Downloads:	93
Metadata:
Categories:	EPF
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Licences

License:	CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International

Link:	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:	The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:	04.09.2025

Secondary language

Language:	English
Title:	Econometric analysis of the consumption function in Denmark, Sweden and Norway
Abstract:	This thesis addresses the econometric analysis of the consumption function in Denmark, Sweden and Norway, which represents an important macroeconomic factor. The theoretical framework draws from both modern and classical consumption theories of Keynes, Fisher, Modigliani and Friedman, all of whom significantly contributed to the understanding of economics and the role of consumption. These authors emphasize the influence of disposable income, household savings and expectations on the formation of consumption patterns. The analytical part is based on quarterly data for the period 2000–2023, where regression models for each selected country were estimated using the Ordinary Least Squares method. Within the empirical analysis, the key assumptions of the linear regression model were tested, including normal distribution, multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. To verify these assumptions, the Jarque-Bera, Breusch-Pagan, White, Glejser and Durbin-Watson tests were applied, along with the evaluation of the variance inflation factor. The results confirm that disposable income is a statistically significant determinant of consumption in all three countries, while labour market conditions, reflected in employment and unemployment rates, also play a very important role. Denmark and Sweden demonstrate high stability of consumption patterns, whereas Norway exhibits greater volatility, particularly in times of crisis, primarily due to energy price shocks and interest rate fluctuations. The empirical analysis confirms that income-related variables are key determinants of consumption, while also showing that macroeconomic specificities manifest themselves at the level of individual economies, even among countries as economically, politically, socially, culturally and historically interconnected as Denmark, Sweden and Norway.
Keywords:	Consumption function, econometric analysis, Ordinary Least Squares, households, Denmark, Sweden, Norway.

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